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Fixed Income & Credit views across tracked managers.

Carry, credit spreads, refinancing pressure, and where bond-market opportunity is improving. Use this page to compare how different firms are framing the same issue before it turns into a client conversation.

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589 summaries

Firms represented

17 firms

Latest note

May 8, 2026

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Apr 29, 2026

34 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Quick Thoughts: Are markets complacent?

High oil prices have emerged as the market’s clearest near-term risk, with supply disruptions keeping energy costs elevated and threatening growth in Europe and Asia.

Even so, markets have recovered because corporate earnings remain strong, US productivity is improving, and fiscal support...

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Apr 27, 2026

21 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Video: Shock, Then Repricing

March’s geopolitical flare-up unsettled markets and lifted energy prices, while also forcing a broad repricing in global bonds and credit.

Rates moved higher and spreads widened as investors demanded more compensation for risk, creating a more volatile backdrop but also opening up...

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Apr 24, 2026

25 sec read

Federated Hermes

Under a cloud

The US residential solar market has weakened sharply, moving from years of growth into a clear contraction as installations fall and policy support fades.

For investors, the biggest concern is not just lower demand, but the strain this puts on solar ABS...

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Apr 20, 2026

47 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Shock, Then Repricing

March was dominated by a sharp rise in geopolitical risk, with Middle East tensions pushing oil higher and forcing markets to reprice inflation, growth, and policy expectations.

Rates sold off across major developed markets as investors scaled back Fed cut hopes and...

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Apr 17, 2026

30 sec read

Goldman Sachs

Fixed Income Outlook 2Q 2026

Geopolitical tension in the Middle East is keeping energy prices elevated and has raised near-term inflation risks across global markets.

That backdrop supports a selective, active approach, with opportunities emerging where policy divergence and improving fundamentals can still reward disciplined investors.

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Apr 16, 2026

29 sec read

Goldman Sachs

Municipal Quarterly Review 1Q 2026

Municipal bonds faced a difficult first quarter as rising Treasury yields, inflation worries, and heavy new issuance pushed prices lower.

March was especially weak, but strong fund inflows and resilient demand helped absorb supply and may create a more attractive entry point...

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Apr 14, 2026

23 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Municipal Bond Market Monitor – Q1 2026

Municipal bond markets have remained shaped by shifting interest-rate expectations, steady demand for tax-advantaged income, and uneven supply across sectors.

Higher yields have created more attractive entry points for investors, while credit quality has generally held up well despite pressure in some...

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Apr 10, 2026

24 sec read

Morgan Stanley

High Yield Market Monitor – Q1 2026

US and European high yield markets continue to offer attractive income, but the backdrop is more selective than it was a year ago.

Credit fundamentals remain broadly resilient, yet higher refinancing costs and slower growth are starting to pressure weaker issuers.

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Apr 9, 2026

23 sec read

Invesco

Portfolio Playbook

Invesco’s March Portfolio Playbook keeps a constructive view on risk assets, arguing that global growth is improving even as Middle East tensions and higher energy prices add near-term uncertainty.

The firm favors stocks over core bonds and leans toward cyclical sectors, with...

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Apr 8, 2026

30 sec read

Goldman Sachs

Market Know-How 2Q 2026

Markets are entering a new resource reality, where geopolitics, AI, and electrification are pushing demand for critical minerals faster than supply can adapt.

This creates opportunities for investors in companies tied to sourcing, processing, recycling, grid buildout, defense supply chains, and the...

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Apr 8, 2026

29 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Cryptocurrency Exchange Traded Products

Crypto exchange traded products are making digital asset exposure more accessible through a familiar brokerage-based structure.

They can simplify ownership by removing the need to manage wallets or private keys, while allowing investors to hold Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and similar assets within...

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Apr 2, 2026

31 sec read

Morgan Stanley

The MSIM Quantitative Credit Strategy Model

Morgan Stanley Investment Management’s Broad Markets Fixed Income team uses a proprietary quantitative credit framework to bring more discipline to short-term credit positioning.

The model blends market technicals, risk sentiment, the business cycle, carry and valuation with fundamental research to help judge...

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Mar 20, 2026

25 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Video: Contained Escalation

Geopolitical risk returned to the forefront in February, as the Iran conflict sparked renewed volatility and pushed investors toward higher-quality assets.

Credit and securitized markets reacted with widening spreads in some segments, while areas perceived as safer saw stronger demand.

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Mar 17, 2026

33 sec read

Federated Hermes

FedSpeak meets legal jargon

The Federal Reserve meeting underscored a rare mix of institutional drama and policy continuity, as Chair Powell affirmed his temporary status while emphasizing the legality and necessity of staying through an ongoing investigation.

Behind that backdrop, monetary policy itself remained steady, with...

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Mar 16, 2026

33 sec read

J.P. Morgan

How Will It End?

Geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in Iran, are introducing significant uncertainty into global markets.

Traders are pricing in a stabilization of oil markets, suggesting an expectation for a return to normal production and shipping.

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Mar 16, 2026

47 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Contained Escalation

Geopolitics moved to the forefront in late February and early March as U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, followed by Iranian retaliation and tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, pushed oil prices higher and briefly reshaped risk sentiment.

Markets are now...

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Mar 11, 2026

29 sec read

Goldman Sachs

Municipal Fixed Income Monthly

Municipal bonds extended their run of positive returns in February, supported by strong demand, solid fundamentals, and manageable credit profiles across most states and cities.

Yields fell across the curve and the steepening muni term structure now rewards investors willing to extend...

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Mar 10, 2026

30 sec read

Invesco

A case for long-term muni funds

Invesco [ticker] offers investors intraday access to ETF exposure through major U.S. stock exchanges, providing flexibility to align trades with market conditions and portfolio goals.

Advisors and investors can integrate the strategy across a range of brokerage platforms, while coordinating with financial...

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Feb 20, 2026

30 sec read

Goldman Sachs

Weekly Market Monitor

AI-related debt issuance is rising as hyperscalers fund massive infrastructure buildouts, prompting comparisons to the Dot-Com era and concerns about a potential bubble.

While AI-linked borrowing now represents roughly one-third of USD net issuance in 2025, the pace of growth remains far...

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Feb 6, 2026

30 sec read

Artisan

Trading Viewpoints: To Intermediate or Not?

Foreign exchange markets pose unique challenges for emerging markets debt managers because most trading relies on bilateral credit relationships rather than a central guarantor.

These arrangements embed both credit and execution costs into FX spreads, making it hard to see and optimize...

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Feb 2, 2026

37 sec read

Federated Hermes

Too much Fed news

The Federal Reserve remains at the center of markets, with policy developments now intertwined with rising political and legal drama around Chair Powell, Governor Cook, and the nomination of Kevin Warsh.

While the headlines are noisy, the January FOMC meeting itself was...

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Jan 30, 2026

32 sec read

Federated Hermes

Gold keeps shining

A powerful rally in gold and other metals, a landmark EU‑India trade deal, and renewed questions around Japan’s bond market and the dollar all shaped investor thinking this week.

Precious metals’ sharp gains, driven by central bank buying and wider retail access,...

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Jan 30, 2026

41 sec read

Federated Hermes

Trump's pick for Fed Chair

Markets are entering a new phase as President Trump nominates Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed chair, raising fresh questions about the path of interest rates and the central bank’s independence.

The Fed is currently on hold after aggressive cuts...

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Jan 30, 2026

27 sec read

Invesco

Kevin Warsh nominated to serve as the next Fed chair

Invesco [ticker] offers investors intraday access to ETF trading on major U.S. exchanges through a wide range of brokerage platforms.

Advisors and investors can integrate this ETF into portfolios to pursue specific market exposures or strategies, while coordinating purchases with existing allocation...

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Jan 27, 2026

36 sec read

Franklin Templeton

The Big Picture: First quarter 2026

Global growth is expected to improve in 2026, helped by fiscal support, easier financial conditions and reduced tariff uncertainty, while inflation trends lower toward central bank targets.

In the US, tax refunds and deregulation under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act should...

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Jan 23, 2026

35 sec read

Artisan

Attention EMBI Shoppers

Emerging markets debt delivered strong returns in 2025, but today’s tight spreads and muted volatility suggest investors are being paid very little to take on benchmark risk.

Dollar-denominated EM debt now offers a spread over Treasuries that is not only well below...

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Jan 22, 2026

44 sec read

Morgan Stanley

A Holiday Reset

Fixed income markets ended the year with higher yields and steeper curves as investors pushed out expectations for rate cuts and demanded more compensation for duration risk, even as central banks signaled a cautious, data-dependent stance.

Credit markets proved resilient in this...

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Jan 22, 2026

32 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Key Convictions: First quarter 2026

Global fixed-income markets in 2026 are being supported by steady growth, moderating inflation and the tailwind of central bank easing, which together have lowered recession risks and bolstered risk assets.

With inflation near target and major central banks nearing the end of...

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Nov 24, 2025

29 sec read

Federated Hermes

Vigilance needed

As we look to 2026, financial advisors and investors should brace for a year marked by cautious optimism amidst economic uncertainties.

The labor market remains a crucial indicator of the US economy's resilience, bolstered by robust consumer spending from higher-income groups.

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Nov 18, 2025

42 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Sector Views: Proceed with caution

As we navigate the current investment landscape, a nuanced understanding of key economic trends and risks is crucial.

The US economy shows resilience, buoyed by robust consumer spending and low unemployment, though inflation remains a persistent challenge for the Federal Reserve's monetary...

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Nov 17, 2025

39 sec read

Morgan Stanley

The 40% Conundrum

In a landscape shaped by a significant data vacuum due to the U.S. government shutdown, investors and policymakers have been navigating with limited visibility into economic health.

The Federal Reserve proceeded with another interest rate cut, though Chair Powell's cautious rhetoric has...

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Nov 17, 2025

33 sec read

First Trust

Demand-Side Trickle-Down

Investment trends today are shaped by a blend of historical insights and current dynamics, revealing both opportunities and risks.

The resurgence of government spending to combat economic downturns has sparked debates reminiscent of the Reagan-era tax cuts, focusing on whether these measures...

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Nov 14, 2025

41 sec read

Federated Hermes

Cautious optimism for 2026

As we look ahead to 2026, the investment landscape is poised for a transformative era driven by productivity gains, economic growth, and central bank policies.

Equities are expected to thrive as AI integration accelerates productivity and corporate margins expand.

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Nov 13, 2025

43 sec read

Federated Hermes

A road less traveled, in bonds

In today's investment landscape, focusing solely on traditional bond indices like the Bloomberg Aggregate may limit exposure to a wealth of lesser-known opportunities within the fixed income asset class.

As mainstream sectors face tightening spreads, exploring areas beyond the index can uncover...

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Nov 11, 2025

30 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Diversifying for income

The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cuts signal a shift from restrictive policies as it aims to balance inflation control with employment growth.

Despite concerns over tariffs, inflation remains stable, allowing for a more neutral monetary stance with potential further rate reductions...

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Oct 30, 2025

38 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Key Convictions: Fourth quarter 2025

In the current investment landscape, financial advisors and investors must navigate a complex macroeconomic environment marked by slowing global growth, geopolitical tensions, and fiscal challenges.

Inflation appears to be trending towards central bank targets, prompting monetary policy adjustments worldwide.

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Oct 30, 2025

38 sec read

Franklin Templeton

On My Mind: Dancing in the dark

In the latest Federal Reserve meeting, Chair Jerome Powell signaled that while a further rate cut in December is uncertain, economic resilience and fiscal policies suggest holding steady may be prudent.

The Fed's decision to pause quantitative tightening reflects a strategic alignment...

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Oct 23, 2025

35 sec read

Federated Hermes

A word about recent regional bank events

Recent developments in the credit markets, highlighted by the revelations from Zions and Western Alliance about fraudulent exposures, have stirred concerns reminiscent of early 2023's banking challenges.

While these issues are seen as isolated incidents, they bring attention to broader trends in...

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Oct 21, 2025

26 sec read

Morgan Stanley

GLP-1 Drugs and Shifting Consumer Behavior

The rise of GLP-1 drugs is revolutionizing obesity treatment and altering consumer behavior, presenting both opportunities and risks for investors.

Originally developed for diabetes management, these therapies are now being embraced as effective weight-loss solutions, impacting dietary choices and potentially reducing alcohol...

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Oct 17, 2025

51 sec read

Morgan Stanley

The First Cut Is (Still) the Deepest

As the Federal Reserve adopted a cautious approach with its latest rate cut, investors are reminded of the central bank's commitment to controlling inflation while maintaining positive real interest rates.

The U.S. yield curve has flattened, indicating restrained expectations for further aggressive...

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Oct 17, 2025

37 sec read

Federated Hermes

No free lunch

The ongoing federal government shutdown, now in its 17th day, has heightened uncertainty in the investment landscape as political stalemates continue to hinder fiscal progress.

Despite attempts to pass a Continuing Resolution for temporary funding, bipartisan discord persists with significant implications for...

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Oct 17, 2025

28 sec read

Federated Hermes

How to navigate the subprime ABS market

The recent bankruptcy of a subprime auto loan lender serves as a cautionary tale, highlighting the importance of due diligence and responsible management in volatile economic conditions.

As the divide between affluent households and those struggling with inflation widens, rising interest rates...

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Oct 9, 2025

37 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Central Bank Watch: Measured moves

As global economic landscapes continue to shift, central banks across key regions are adjusting their monetary policies to navigate new challenges and opportunities.

In North America, the Federal Reserve has resumed easing measures amidst labor market concerns, while Canada's rate cuts signal...

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Oct 9, 2025

33 sec read

Invesco

Thoughts from the Municipal Bond Desk

As financial markets continue to evolve, several key trends are shaping investment strategies.

The rise of sustainable investing is creating new opportunities for growth, as investors increasingly seek companies with strong environmental, social, and governance practices.

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Oct 1, 2025

39 sec read

Federated Hermes

Slow and steady

The recent rate cut by the Federal Reserve presents an intriguing scenario for financial advisors and investors, especially in considering liquidity products.

While direct market securities like government auctions respond swiftly to these changes, other financial instruments such as mortgages and money...

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Sep 26, 2025

32 sec read

Federated Hermes

A dollar bazooka for Argentina

The recent intervention by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has provided a much-needed lifeline to Argentina's embattled President Javier Milei, amid investor concerns following electoral setbacks and corruption scandals.

Bessent's commitment to support Argentina has resulted in negotiations for a $20 billion...

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Sep 25, 2025

30 sec read

Franklin Templeton

AI did not write this ETF column

As the investment landscape evolves, financial advisors and investors are navigating a complex world where artificial intelligence and traditional methods intersect.

The ETF market exemplifies this blend, with innovations like digital assets and private credit ETFs complementing stalwarts such as large-cap equities...

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Sep 24, 2025

25 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Fed Cut: So What?

With the recent 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed, bond investors are evaluating its implications on their portfolios.

This presents an opportunity to consider bank loans as a strategic addition to traditional bond investments, particularly in today's fluctuating economic environment....

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Sep 24, 2025

25 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Three things to know about Medicare

In the evolving landscape of investment opportunities, understanding key trends and associated risks is crucial for informed decision-making.

With the global economy facing fluctuations, sectors such as renewable energy and technology are demonstrating significant growth potential, driven by increased demand for sustainable...

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Sep 19, 2025

31 sec read

Federated Hermes

Risk management

The Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates for the first time since December reflects its concern over labor market weaknesses, despite expectations of stronger economic growth and higher inflation.

This move, characterized as a risk management strategy by Fed Chair...

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Sep 17, 2025

47 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Several bangs and one whimper

In the current investment landscape, financial advisors and investors are navigating a period of muted volatility in the fixed income market, despite underlying pressures that hint at potential upheaval as we transition into fall.

The recent calm in bond markets seems paradoxical...

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Sep 15, 2025

35 sec read

First Trust

So, Maybe That Drop In M2 Really Did Matter

As financial advisors and investors navigate the evolving economic landscape, recent revisions to payroll growth data highlight key trends that may influence investment decisions.

The downward adjustments to job creation figures suggest the economy was weaker than previously reported, casting doubt on...

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Sep 10, 2025

36 sec read

Franklin Templeton

How businesses may benefit from the OBBBA

Recent legislative changes offer both opportunities and challenges for businesses, particularly through tax reforms that extend and enhance deductions.

Key provisions include the permanent extension of the Qualified Business Income deduction, which benefits certain pass-through business owners by allowing a 20% deduction...

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Sep 5, 2025

41 sec read

Federated Hermes

Bond markets fret over rising budget deficits

In today's complex financial landscape, the rise in long-term government bond yields relative to short-term ones highlights the strain on many nations as they grapple with increased debt servicing costs.

This scenario presents a critical challenge for governments, potentially curtailing their ability...

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Sep 2, 2025

36 sec read

Federated Hermes

Looking on the bright side

As financial markets navigate the complexities of evolving monetary policies and technological advancements, key trends and opportunities are emerging.

The money markets have shown resilience, with stable value investments continuing to offer attractive yields amid robust fundamentals since 2008.

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Aug 28, 2025

36 sec read

Federated Hermes

The Fed shifts focus

In the wake of Jackson Hole 2025, the bond market has found a clearer direction with Fed Chair Jay Powell's comments suggesting an easing stance from the Federal Reserve.

Economic and employment growth in the US have slowed, leading to lower short...

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Aug 26, 2025

33 sec read

Federated Hermes

How far does the Fed's influence extend?

In today's investment landscape, the Federal Reserve's influence is predominantly seen in short-term interest rates, with less impact on longer maturities due to concerns about inflation and deficits.

This divergence suggests that while savings accounts may align with Fed actions, mortgage rates...

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Aug 21, 2025

40 sec read

Federated Hermes

Barometer: Analyzing Q2 portfolio trends

The announcement of tariffs by President Trump has been a pivotal event, igniting significant market volatility and reshaping investment strategies as advisors pivot towards risk management.

In response to this uncertainty, diversification has become a key strategy, with portfolio correlations declining sharply...

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Aug 21, 2025

34 sec read

Federated Hermes

Stagflation-lite

The current economic landscape is marked by a peculiar mix of slowing growth and rising inflation, evoking concerns of a stagflation-like scenario.

Despite robust GDP numbers in the second quarter, underlying indicators suggest a cooling economy as evidenced by softening private domestic...

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Aug 20, 2025

45 sec read

Artisan

Bank Loans: The Missing Piece

In the ever-evolving landscape of investment, bank loans have emerged as a compelling option for those seeking to enhance returns while managing risk.

These loans, often overlooked compared to high yield and investment-grade bonds, provide a unique combination of benefits such as...

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Aug 4, 2025

33 sec read

Morgan Stanley

European Private Credit: Why Now?

In the evolving landscape of global finance, private credit has emerged as a robust component of investment portfolios, with its assets under management growing significantly over the last decade.

Particularly notable is the rapid expansion of European private credit, which now constitutes...

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Jul 25, 2025

50 sec read

Federated Hermes

Big beautiful debt

The landscape of U.S. federal debt has transformed dramatically, ballooning from $10 trillion in 2008 to $36 trillion today, with interest payments rivaling major expenditures like Medicare and defense.

In response, U.S.

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Jul 18, 2025

25 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Flash Insights: The case for short-duration fixed income—three reasons to consider owning the short-end of the curve

Financial advisors and investors are increasingly recognizing the appeal of short-duration fixed income, which has historically delivered attractive long-term, risk-adjusted returns with notably lower volatility.

This stability makes it a strong structural allocation for diversified portfolios, especially in uncertain market conditions.

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Jul 16, 2025

30 sec read

Capital Group

Envisioning a post-Powell Fed: What comes next?

As President Trump voices dissatisfaction with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, investors are speculating about potential changes in U.S. monetary policy and its implications for the markets.

While Powell's term ends in 2026, the discussion around his successor has begun, raising questions...

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Jul 16, 2025

398 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Waiting for Godot, Fixed Income Edition

In June, investment markets continued to reflect a risk-on sentiment with decreased volatility and easing geopolitical tensions.

The U.S. dollar weakened against most currencies, aiding the performance of emerging market debt as it benefitted from positive fund flows and tightening credit spreads....

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Jul 15, 2025

38 sec read

Federated Hermes

Summertime...but will the Fed be easing?

Navigating the current investment landscape requires a keen understanding of evolving market dynamics.

With both equity and fixed income markets experiencing volatility, investors must weigh the implications of ongoing interest rate decisions by central banks, amidst mixed economic forecasts.

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Jul 10, 2025

30 sec read

Invesco

Tax-loss harvesting: How can it lower your tax bill?

Investment strategies are constantly evolving, and tax-loss harvesting has emerged as a valuable tool for managing portfolios effectively.

By selling underperforming investments at a loss, investors can offset gains to reduce their tax liabilities while reinvesting in similar assets to maintain portfolio...

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Jul 8, 2025

35 sec read

Capital Group

4 views on one big beautiful bill

With the enactment of President Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill Act, the investment landscape is undergoing a transformative phase.

The legislation's sweeping tax cuts promise to stimulate economic growth, yet they also raise concerns about escalating U.S. debt levels and potential inflationary...

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Jul 7, 2025

28 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Congress passes sweeping tax bill

The recent passage of a comprehensive tax bill by Congress introduces significant changes that could influence investment strategies for both financial advisors and investors.

With the extension of income tax rates and the standard deduction, along with a notable increase in the...

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Jun 27, 2025

37 sec read

Federated Hermes

The Hang Seng surge

Investment landscapes are shifting as global markets navigate complex economic and geopolitical dynamics.

A notable trend is the resurgence of investor interest in Hong Kong, driven by domestic capital rather than foreign inflows, as mainland Chinese investors increasingly tap into Hong Kong's...

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Jun 26, 2025

27 sec read

Federated Hermes

Quant reimagined

Quantitative investing has transitioned from its academic roots to become a cornerstone of modern investment strategies, marked by both impressive successes and notable failures.

The lessons learned from past quant crises have underscored the importance of diversification across and within factors like...

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Jun 26, 2025

30 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Macro Market Trends: Third quarter 2025

In the current global financial landscape, investors face both opportunities and risks shaped by geopolitical tensions, shifts in asset allocation preferences, and evolving monetary policies.

As central banks diversify reserves into non-USD currencies like the euro and Chinese renminbi, there's a noticeable...

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Jun 23, 2025

34 sec read

Franklin Templeton

June FOMC meeting—a small step closer to clarity

The Federal Open Market Committee has maintained its policy rate, reflecting the persistent uncertainty in economic forecasts despite diminishing concerns since earlier this year.

Recent projections suggest fewer interest rate cuts over the next few years than previously anticipated, while inflation pressures—particularly...

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Jun 17, 2025

41 sec read

Morgan Stanley

April Showers Bring May… Rallies?

Investment markets are navigating a complex landscape marked by fluctuating trade tensions, policy shifts, and economic uncertainties.

The de-escalation of the U.S.-China trade war has fueled a recovery in risk assets, while government bond yields have risen amid renewed optimism.

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Jun 13, 2025

28 sec read

Federated Hermes

Summer of unrest?

In the wake of a robust V-shaped recovery, the S&P 500 has rebounded impressively, with volatility subsiding to pre-crisis levels.

Yet, looming geopolitical tensions and economic policy uncertainties hint at potential market corrections that could temper recent gains.

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Jun 9, 2025

33 sec read

Capital Group

Smart tax strategies for investors

As investors navigate the uncertainty of looming tariffs, trade disputes, and evolving tax policies, financial advisors are uniquely positioned to guide clients through tax-aware wealth planning.

With portions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 set to expire soon, it's...

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Jun 9, 2025

40 sec read

First Trust

Thoughts on Inflation

In the wake of significant economic events like the 2008 Financial Panic and the COVID-19 pandemic, understanding inflation dynamics is crucial for informed investment decisions.

Initially, fears of hyperinflation post-2008 were unfounded due to regulatory measures that restrained bank capital growth, despite...

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Jun 6, 2025

34 sec read

Federated Hermes

South Korea's new dawn

South Korea's recent presidential election, resulting in a win for the Democratic Party’s Lee Jae-myung, signifies a pivotal shift after political turmoil.

The Korean Stock Exchange responded positively with notable gains, driven by expectations of reforms that promise enhanced corporate governance and...

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Jun 5, 2025

39 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Global Macro Insights

In May, tariffs remained a central theme affecting financial markets as investors grappled with their economic implications.

Despite the benign inflation outcomes so far, concerns linger about the long-term impact on growth and prices.

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Jun 2, 2025

30 sec read

Federated Hermes

The answer is, 'No'

Amid recent concerns over Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating, financial advisors can reassure clients that money market funds remain stable and unaffected.

This is due to their short-term holdings and robust liquidity positions, which mitigate long-term risks associated with US...

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May 27, 2025

43 sec read

First Trust

Debt Downgrade Drama and the Budget

The recent downgrade of U.S. government debt by Moody’s to Aa1 has stirred financial circles, yet long-term bond yields have shown only modest increases, reflecting market resilience.

Despite the media uproar, the yield gap between 30-year and 10-year Treasuries has widened but...

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May 22, 2025

35 sec read

Federated Hermes

Barometer: Analyzing Q1 portfolio trends

The investment landscape at the start of 2025 has been marked by significant uncertainties, particularly surrounding tariff implications and their impact on global markets.

These concerns have led to heightened correlations among asset classes, diminishing diversification benefits for portfolios and prompting investors...

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May 22, 2025

24 sec read

Federated Hermes

The ECB's road ahead

In light of recent market volatility, the European Central Bank (ECB) remains committed to its easing program, having cut rates for a seventh consecutive time.

The economic landscape in Europe is complex, with Germany's significant fiscal expansion juxtaposed against potential US tariffs...

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May 21, 2025

27 sec read

Franklin Templeton

529 plans: Not just for college

As families increasingly turn to 529 plans for education savings, financial advisors should be aware of their expanding utility beyond just college tuition.

Despite many families still being unaware of these benefits, 529 plans can now cover costs for K-12 education, vocational...

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May 21, 2025

41 sec read

Alliance Bernstein

In the evolving landscape of investment, understanding the materiality of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) factors is crucial for financial advisors and investors.

These factors can significantly impact security returns, yet their relevance varies widely across different sectors and markets.

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May 20, 2025

28 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Key Convictions: Second quarter 2025

Investment landscapes are shifting as recent trade policies and geopolitical developments contribute to heightened market volatility.

While fixed-income returns are diverging, with US and emerging market bonds performing well against the backdrop of underperforming Japanese and eurozone government bonds, the overall outlook...

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May 19, 2025

35 sec read

Franklin Templeton

The Big Picture: Second quarter 2025

As financial advisors and investors navigate the evolving landscape of 2025, fixed-income markets present a promising avenue for returns, bolstered by attractive yields.

Despite concerns over US tariffs affecting growth, the prospect of tax cut extensions and regulatory leniency suggests that recession...

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May 15, 2025

39 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Unprecedented Volatility, But No Real Clarity

April witnessed heightened volatility in financial markets, driven primarily by unexpected tariff announcements from the Trump administration.

This led to a significant sell-off in equities and widening credit spreads, reminiscent of past financial crises, before a rapid recovery as some tariffs were...

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May 14, 2025

35 sec read

Franklin Templeton

ETF trading talk is back!

In the dynamic world of investments, understanding exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and their market behavior is crucial for financial advisors and investors.

Recent trends indicate a resurgence of interest in ETF trading, driven by market volatility and uncertainties.

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May 12, 2025

30 sec read

Franklin Templeton

For the Fed, it's time to wait and see

The Federal Open Market Committee has maintained the federal funds rate between 4.25% and 4.50%, highlighting a cautious approach amid uncertainties in trade and fiscal policies.

Chair Powell emphasized a "wait-and-see" strategy, acknowledging solid economic growth but also noting risks from tariffs...

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May 9, 2025

39 sec read

Federated Hermes

Let's make a deal

The investment landscape is currently shaped by a mix of promising opportunities and significant uncertainties.

As markets recover from recent downturns, there are signs of resilience, such as strong corporate fundamentals and a potential for growth in emerging sectors like technology.

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May 8, 2025

27 sec read

Artisan

Trading Viewpoints: The Price of Time

Investing in emerging markets debt offers compelling opportunities but requires navigating a labyrinth of complexities unique to each market.

Traders face the critical challenge of balancing between price sensitivity and time sensitivity, where strategic decisions hinge on either minimizing transaction costs or...

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Apr 23, 2025

27 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Tax planning should be a focus for all seasons

As financial advisors and investors navigate the current landscape, key trends such as sustainable investing and technological advancements present both opportunities and challenges.

The rise of ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) criteria continues to shape investment strategies as more investors prioritize ethical considerations...

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Apr 17, 2025

39 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Smart and Simple Investing for 2025

In the ever-evolving landscape of investment, the enduring 60/40 strategy—comprising 60% U.S. stocks and 40% U.S. bonds—remains a compelling choice for investors seeking stability amidst market volatility.

This balanced approach provides diversification through varied economic climates, guided by expert portfolio managers who...

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Apr 17, 2025

47 sec read

Invesco

What’s going on with Treasury rates?

Financial advisors and investors are navigating a complex landscape influenced by tariffs, market technicals, and global sentiment.

Despite recent economic uncertainties, the Federal Reserve appears poised to maintain its current policy stance until concrete data suggests tariffs are impacting the real economy....

Read summary

Apr 15, 2025

31 sec read

Invesco

Investing with the fear factor

In the current investment landscape, fear driven by trade wars and market volatility often leads to higher implied volatility, as measured by the VIX or "fear gauge." While these fears typically result in overestimated risks, they can also present unique opportunities for...

Read summary

Apr 11, 2025

38 sec read

Federated Hermes

You like roller coasters?

In the current investment landscape, financial advisors and investors are navigating a complex mix of geopolitical tensions, market volatility, and economic indicators.

The temporary pause in tariffs announced by Trump created a brief rally in stock markets; however, such spikes often occur...

Read summary

Apr 10, 2025

45 sec read

Federated Hermes

Unpredictable

The current investment landscape is marked by significant volatility due to US President Donald Trump's unpredictable tariff announcements, which have heavily influenced investor sentiment.

The announcement of a 90-day pause in tariff implementation is expected to bring some stability, as investors anticipate...

Read summary

Apr 9, 2025

65 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Putting your tax refund to work

As tax filing season progresses, many taxpayers are anticipating refunds, with an average refund amount of $3,221 as reported by the IRS.

A significant majority of taxpayers plan to allocate their refunds towards necessities such as rent, groceries, and debt repayment.

Read summary

Apr 8, 2025

59 sec read

Invesco

Will high tariffs push the US into recession?

The current global trade environment is fraught with uncertainty, primarily due to the imposition of tariffs by the US under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.

These tariffs, which were initially thought to be more moderate, have turned out to be significant,...

Read summary

Apr 8, 2025

42 sec read

Alliance Bernstein

Multi-Asset Income in a New Regime

The current investment landscape demands a flexible approach to income generation, as market conditions have shifted significantly from the past decade.

Efficient income today can be achieved through high-quality assets with good risk-adjusted returns, without compromising on asset quality.

Read summary

Apr 7, 2025

57 sec read

Capital Group

How to handle market declines

The central theme of the content is the importance of maintaining a disciplined, long-term investment strategy, particularly during periods of market volatility.

The text emphasizes that market declines are a natural part of investing, and history shows that these downturns are typically...

Read summary

Apr 4, 2025

55 sec read

Federated Hermes

Avoiding the thorns

President Trump's introduction of reciprocal tariffs, announced in the Rose Garden, presents potential challenges for both the US and global economies.

The tariffs, starting at a base of 10% and escalating for certain countries, are more extensive than anticipated, causing global markets...

Read summary

Mar 31, 2025

63 sec read

Invesco

Unlocking the power of CLOs

Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) have emerged as a noteworthy investment opportunity, particularly for financial advisors, wealth managers, and portfolio managers seeking diversification and attractive returns.

CLOs are structured financial instruments that pool leveraged loans, which are typically secured by liens on assets...

Read summary

Mar 31, 2025

51 sec read

Federated Hermes

The new Magnificent Seven

The surge in money market mutual funds since the Federal Reserve's rate hikes in 2022 has been notable, with assets under management (AUM) in the U.S. surpassing $7 trillion.

This growth is not primarily driven by stock market volatility, as institutional investors...

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Mar 31, 2025

54 sec read

Federated Hermes

In the public interest

The current focus in Washington is on the potential extension of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), which carries significant fiscal implications due to the projected loss in tax revenues.

This has led to discussions on potential changes in tax policies,...

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Mar 26, 2025

44 sec read

Franklin Templeton

The evolution of private credit

Private credit has emerged as a significant asset class, encompassing diverse strategies such as direct lending, special situations, asset-based financing, commercial real estate debt, and collateralized loan obligations.

As the market matures and demand increases, financial advisors are tasked with determining effective...

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Mar 24, 2025

32 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Municipal bonds are back

The current market environment is seen as advantageous for tax-free municipal bonds, making them a suitable inclusion in retail investors' portfolios.

These bonds provide the benefit of relatively high tax-exempt income, which can enhance the after-tax yield for investors.

Read summary

Mar 21, 2025

53 sec read

Federated Hermes

Put put

The current investment landscape is characterized by uncertainty, with significant focus on potential economic policy shifts and their market implications.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has emphasized a patient stance, suggesting potential rate cuts and a halt in quantitative tightening to stabilize...

Read summary

Mar 19, 2025

60 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Your ship finally came in. Now what?

Receiving a financial windfall, such as a lottery win or inheritance, requires careful planning and the guidance of a financial professional to ensure optimal management and utilization of the funds.

Initially, it is advisable to take no immediate action, allowing time to...

Read summary

Mar 17, 2025

50 sec read

First Trust

A Recession Wouldn’t Help the Budget

The theory that the Trump Administration desires a recession to lower interest rates and ease national debt servicing is critically examined and dismissed as misguided.

The argument suggests that such a recession would exacerbate fiscal issues rather than alleviate them.

Read summary

Mar 14, 2025

50 sec read

Federated Hermes

Tariff tensions shake Wall Street

The recent downturn in US equities highlights the ongoing market volatility driven by President Trump's protectionist trade policies, particularly the unpredictable imposition of tariffs.

This uncertainty has led to significant declines in major indices, with the S&P 500 entering correction territory and...

Read summary

Mar 11, 2025

55 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Quick Thoughts: Risk vs. uncertainty

The current investment landscape is marked by significant uncertainty, primarily driven by chaotic governance policies in Washington, DC.

This uncertainty is distinct from quantifiable risks and has resulted in a more volatile equity market and a softer US economic outlook.

Read summary

Mar 5, 2025

53 sec read

Artisan

When the Music Stops at the High Yield Party

The investment landscape in emerging market (EM) debt has been characterized by a surprising tightening of credit spreads since mid-2022, reaching levels not seen since before the COVID-19 pandemic.

This trend has particularly benefited lower-rated issuers, with EM high yield (HY) significantly...

Read summary

Feb 24, 2025

52 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Evolution of Direct Lending

Direct Lending, a segment of Private Credit, involves providing direct, illiquid loans to middle market companies, bypassing traditional banks.

This strategy typically includes first lien and unitranche loans, which combine different debt classes into a single loan.

Read summary

Feb 21, 2025

59 sec read

Federated Hermes

Trump, again

The second Trump administration's market outlook is shaped by historical parallels and strategic policy decisions.

The administration's narrow House majority and fluctuating popular support echo the political landscape of the late 19th century.

Read summary

Feb 20, 2025

70 sec read

Morgan Stanley

An On-Again, Off-Again World

The investment landscape in January was characterized by stable performance in fixed income assets despite initial uncertainties surrounding President Trump's administration.

The U.S. economy showed resilience, maintaining a strong global leadership position, with economic data supporting this stability.

Read summary

Feb 19, 2025

61 sec read

Federated Hermes

Consumer slowing down

The current investment landscape is characterized by significant challenges and potential risks that financial advisors, wealth managers, and portfolio managers need to consider.

January retail sales experienced a notable decline of 0.9% month-over-month, the largest since March 2023, influenced by adverse weather...

Read summary

Feb 19, 2025

57 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Five estate planning ideas for 2025

With the impending expiration of key tax provisions from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2025, notably the lifetime estate and gift tax exclusion, a comprehensive review of estate plans is advisable.

Financial advisors should consider strategies that enhance tax efficiency...

Read summary

Feb 12, 2025

75 sec read

Neuberger Berman

Private Markets: As The Ice Breaks

The private market environment is showing signs of normalization following a period of liquidity drought, allowing investors to refocus on building portfolios that align with unique investment goals.

Post-COVID, markets experienced extremes, with initial fluidity giving way to inactivity due to high...

Read summary

Feb 10, 2025

49 sec read

First Trust

Data Games

The skepticism surrounding federal economic reports is understandable, given past inaccuracies and controversies, particularly related to COVID-19 measures and political events.

Despite this, it is crucial to recognize the complexity and scale of the U.S. economy, which makes the task of compiling...

Read summary

Feb 5, 2025

55 sec read

Capital Group

Tariffs don’t change U.S. economic outlook

The recent discussions surrounding tariffs and trade wars have raised concerns among investors, but experts advise evaluating these events with a long-term perspective.

The impact of tariffs on the U.S. and global economies remains uncertain, but historical trends suggest that trade barriers...

Read summary

Feb 5, 2025

52 sec read

Invesco

Policy’s impact on fixed income

The recent election has brought focus to key policy areas such as taxes, tariffs, immigration, and deregulation, each with distinct implications for the market.

Lower taxes are generally seen as a stimulant for economic growth; however, they may also lead to higher...

Read summary

Feb 5, 2025

47 sec read

Invesco

Why credit spreads remain resilient

The current investment landscape presents tight credit spreads, which are supported by enhanced market liquidity, improved corporate credit quality, and shorter bond durations.

These factors contribute to the expectation that credit spreads may tighten further.

Read summary

Feb 5, 2025

58 sec read

Invesco

The outlook for interest rates

The current investment landscape suggests that interest rates have been a significant source of volatility in bond markets, particularly since 2022.

With recent cuts by the Federal Reserve amounting to 75 basis points, there's an expectation for further reductions, which could lead...

Read summary

Feb 5, 2025

52 sec read

Invesco

The active management advantage

In the investment grade bond universe, portfolio managers emphasize a deep research approach and active management to achieve consistent top quartile performance.

The goal is to maintain a risk-adjusted framework that allows for agility and adaptability in both favorable and challenging market...

Read summary

Feb 3, 2025

58 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Key Convictions: First quarter 2025

The investment outlook for 2025 suggests a favorable environment for fixed-income investments, driven by strong global growth and progress on inflation.

While the US is expected to lead among developed markets, the growth gap is likely to narrow, presenting selective opportunities in...

Read summary

Feb 3, 2025

60 sec read

Federated Hermes

Don't be distracted by the Fed drama

The Federal Reserve's decision to pause its rate-cutting cycle, maintaining the fed funds target range at 4.25-4.50%, aims to balance inflation control with a strong economy and labor market.

This decision benefits investors in liquidity products, as the elevated interest rates have...

Read summary

Jan 29, 2025

65 sec read

Franklin Templeton

SECURE 2.0: What’s new for 2025?

The SECURE 2.0 Act introduces significant changes to retirement savings, aiming to enhance access and encourage increased contributions.

Notably, starting in 2025, it will allow individuals aged 60 to 63 to make larger catch-up contributions to their 401(k) and SIMPLE IRA plans,...

Read summary

Jan 24, 2025

60 sec read

Alliance Bernstein

Capital Markets Outlook 1Q 2025: Mind the Gaps

The investment landscape for active investors is shaped by upcoming policy changes and the current macroeconomic environment, offering opportunities for outperformance.

As economies transition through the normalization process, investors must consider the implications of potential policy changes, particularly in the US, which...

Read summary

Jan 22, 2025

55 sec read

Federated Hermes

Mortgage-backed momentum

The Federal Reserve's decision to ease monetary policy has led to lower short-term interest rates, while long-term Treasury yields have remained stable, benefiting mortgage investors.

Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) have consistently offered higher yields than Treasuries, with spreads often reaching the high end...

Read summary

Jan 21, 2025

52 sec read

Federated Hermes

New sheriff in town

The investment landscape is currently shaped by the anticipation of President Trump's fiscal policies, which have sparked mixed reactions across different markets.

While the equity market experienced substantial gains, the bond market reflected concerns about potential inflationary pressures due to policy shifts...

Read summary

Jan 21, 2025

57 sec read

First Trust

The 60/40 Model and The Elephant in the Room

The current analysis highlights the significant impact of government size and spending on economic growth, emphasizing that the expansion of federal government redistribution has stifled potential productivity gains from technological advancements.

Despite the introduction of new technologies, which theoretically should boost output,...

Read summary

Jan 20, 2025

51 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Muni Monthly: December 2024

The December 2024 Muni Monthly report highlights several key trends and insights for financial advisors and portfolio managers.

Muni yields increased as the Treasury yield curve steepened, driven by stronger-than-expected GDP data, prompting concerns over inflation and interest rates for 2025.

Read summary

Jan 17, 2025

76 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Is 2025 (finally) the Year of the Bond?

December's bond market activity was characterized by significant volatility, with global government bond yields rising sharply due to a hawkish Federal Reserve meeting and persistent inflation trends.

This resulted in a steepening yield curve in the U.S., with the 10-year Treasury yield...

Read summary

Jan 14, 2025

67 sec read

Federated Hermes

Volatility, velocity and vigilantes

The investment landscape in 2024 has been characterized by significant volatility, with markets reacting to political and economic uncertainties.

The Bloomberg US Aggregate showed modest gains for the year, despite a turbulent Q4 influenced by investor expectations of a Trump election win,...

Read summary

Jan 14, 2025

70 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Transforming 2024 insights into 2025 action

The evolving landscape of retirement planning in 2025 presents a wealth of opportunities for financial advisors, driven by advancements in plan design, legislative changes, and innovative income solutions.

The 2024 "Retirement Insights" series highlights the importance of customized retirement plan design and...

Read summary

Jan 10, 2025

62 sec read

Federated Hermes

The normal

The investment landscape is currently characterized by a mixed outlook, with the S&P 500 hovering near all-time highs but exhibiting weak internal market trends.

Only a small fraction of the index is in an uptrend, while a significant portion is in a...

Read summary

Jan 8, 2025

49 sec read

Capital Group

6 book and podcast recommendations for 2025

The text highlights the importance of reading and listening as tools for gaining insights and enhancing investment strategies among financial professionals.

It emphasizes how leading investors like Warren Buffett and Bill Gates incorporate extensive reading into their routines, a practice mirrored by...

Read summary

Jan 8, 2025

58 sec read

Morgan Stanley

2025 Global Fixed Income Outlook

The fixed income landscape in 2025 is characterized by a complex mix of macroeconomic conditions, sector-specific dynamics, and geopolitical uncertainties.

The global economy is expected to grow solidly, with U.S. growth driven by a productivity boom and robust consumer spending, while Europe...

Read summary

Jan 8, 2025

84 sec read

Artisan

A Q&A with Portfolio Manager Thomas Reynolds

The investment landscape is continuously evolving, necessitating a dynamic approach to managing portfolios.

Tom's unconventional journey from anthropology to portfolio management highlights the importance of diverse perspectives in understanding complex market environments.

Read summary

Jan 8, 2025

56 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Key tax figures for 2025

The investment landscape is currently shaped by the impending expiration of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) at the end of 2025, which leaves future tax policy uncertain.

However, for the current year, tax rates, brackets, and key figures remain defined,...

Read summary

Jan 7, 2025

49 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Is cash king or is cash trash?

The recent changes in the US Treasury yield curve, which is no longer inverted, indicate that cash no longer holds a carry advantage, presenting a reinvestment risk as policy rates are anticipated to decline over the next year.

Expectations for Federal Reserve...

Read summary

Jan 7, 2025

48 sec read

Federated Hermes

Wait and see

The trajectory of US Treasury yields in the upcoming year is largely contingent upon the economic repercussions of the Trump administration's policy decisions.

The administration's strategy to use tariffs as leverage in trade negotiations could lead to inflationary pressures, as tariffs typically...

Read summary

Jan 2, 2025

61 sec read

Alliance Bernstein

Fixed-Income Outlook 2025: Fertile Ground

The investment landscape for 2025 is characterized by continued volatility and falling yields, influenced by geopolitical uncertainties and potential policy changes under President-elect Trump.

Central banks, having tamed inflation, are largely cutting rates, which could lead to diverging regional economic outcomes.

Read summary

Dec 30, 2024

51 sec read

First Trust

Jimmy Carter, RIP

The passing of former President Jimmy Carter at age 100 prompts a reflection on his administration's economic policies, particularly his efforts in deregulation.

Despite criticism of economic mismanagement during his presidency, Carter's actions in deregulating industries such as airlines, trucking, and telecommunications...

Read summary

Dec 19, 2024

57 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Dimensions & Insights: How inclusive principles can transform financial wellness

The current financial planning landscape is increasingly prioritizing financial independence over traditional retirement, with a notable rise in interest according to Franklin Templeton's Voice of the American Workplace (VOTAW) survey.

Despite the growing aspiration for financial independence, fewer individuals believe they can...

Read summary

Dec 18, 2024

53 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Seizing the opportunity in US agency MBS

Since late 2022, US agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) have emerged as an attractive investment opportunity due to historically wide spreads relative to Treasuries.

This valuation anomaly was primarily driven by the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening and a regional banking crisis, which caused...

Read summary

Dec 13, 2024

48 sec read

Franklin Templeton

The Future of Investing: Future of advisory—The role of networks and community in high-touch advisory

The article highlights the evolving landscape of high-touch advisory services for ultra-high-net-worth (UHNW) individuals and institutions, emphasizing the need for more sophisticated and integrated platforms.

Current systems often fall short in handling complex portfolios, lacking automation in managing private funds, margin accounts,...

Read summary

Dec 12, 2024

60 sec read

Franklin Templeton

European fixed income: 2025 outlook

Investors are entering 2025 amid uncertainty, driven by political changes in both Europe and the United States.

The European economy is expected to experience sub-trend growth with supportive monetary policy, which should benefit European bond markets in the medium term.

Read summary

Dec 3, 2024

49 sec read

Alliance Bernstein

The ABCs of Introducing Yourself

The content emphasizes the importance of curiosity in building relationships, particularly for financial advisors seeking to connect with prospective clients.

Instead of focusing on closing deals immediately, advisors are encouraged to engage in conversations by showing genuine interest in others.

Read summary

Dec 3, 2024

58 sec read

Franklin Templeton

The Future of Investing: Future of advisory—Growing challenges for wealth platforms from demographic changes

The investment landscape is undergoing significant transformation, driven by demographic shifts and evolving client expectations, challenging the traditional "one-size-fits-all" approach.

The industry is becoming more competitive and consumer-centric, with an increased reliance on technology and a more stringent regulatory environment.

Read summary

Nov 26, 2024

49 sec read

Invesco

What are the national debt and deficit?

The national debt, distinct from the annual budget deficit, represents the cumulative amount the US government owes its creditors, now nearing $36 trillion.

The debt is primarily composed of public debt owed to investors, such as foreign governments and mutual funds, and...

Read summary

Nov 25, 2024

47 sec read

Artisan

EM’s Uninvited Guest: US Duration

Investors are drawn to emerging markets (EM) debt for growth and reform opportunities, yet US Treasury yield fluctuations often overshadow these prospects, amplifying volatility.

EM debt returns comprise two components: spread returns, tied to the issuing country's fundamentals, and interest rate returns,...

Read summary

Nov 22, 2024

49 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Let’s talk turkey with ETFs

The content draws a parallel between Thanksgiving turkey preparation styles and investment strategies, particularly focusing on ETFs.

Just as chefs may choose a supermarket, cherished recipe, or creative approach to cooking turkey, investors can opt for passive, factor-based, or active strategies when...

Read summary

Nov 21, 2024

72 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Riding the Rollercoaster

The fixed income market experienced notable fluctuations in October following a 50-basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

Initially optimistic reactions to the cut were dampened by strong economic data, leading to a sell-off in rates and a...

Read summary

Nov 21, 2024

81 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Emerging market debt: Five takeaways for 2025

The investment landscape in 2024 has been largely influenced by idiosyncratic narratives, particularly benefiting distressed issuers and sovereign credits nearing investment-grade status.

This trend is expected to persist into 2025, offering discrete spread opportunities for investors, especially in emerging markets (EM).

Read summary

Nov 19, 2024

54 sec read

Invesco

2025 investment outlook: After the landing

The 2025 investment outlook suggests a favorable environment for risk assets due to anticipated monetary policy easing, with central banks aiming for a "soft landing" that lowers inflation without triggering a recession.

However, there are risks of policy missteps that could lead...

Read summary

Nov 15, 2024

70 sec read

Franklin Templeton

The Future of Investing: Future of asset management—ETFs and the pathway to real-world asset tokenization

The article discusses the gradual transition of financial assets to tokenized forms, emphasizing the initial phase known as the "ETF-ization" of assets.

This phase involves wrapping various asset classes, including non-traditional ones, into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to facilitate efficient asset management and...

Read summary

Nov 14, 2024

78 sec read

Alliance Bernstein

Balancing Risks as the Credit Cycle Turns

The investment landscape suggests a strategic focus on balancing credit risk with interest-rate risk through dynamically managed portfolios, particularly in light of central banks' easing phases in major economies.

This environment indicates a promising outlook for a soft landing, though it remains...

Read summary

Nov 13, 2024

57 sec read

Artisan

Senegal: Things are not Always What They Seem

The election of Senegalese Prime Minister Ousmane Sonko and President Bassirou Diomaye Faye in 2024 marked a shift towards social justice and national sovereignty, driven by the electorate's frustration with high living costs and unemployment.

Upon taking office, President Faye's administration uncovered...

Read summary

Nov 12, 2024

63 sec read

Franklin Templeton

US presidential election reaction

The recent election outcome, with Donald Trump winning the US presidency and Republicans regaining Senate control, suggests potential significant shifts in economic and market dynamics.

If Republicans also capture the House, policy initiatives could be more easily enacted, particularly in the first...

Read summary

Nov 12, 2024

51 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Four reasons dividends matter now

The role of dividends in investment portfolios is increasingly significant, providing a substantial contribution to total returns and offering potential to lower volatility.

Historically, dividends have accounted for a considerable portion of equity returns, especially in periods of declining interest rates, making...

Read summary

Nov 12, 2024

55 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Muni Monthly: October 2024

Municipal bonds experienced a rise in yields in October 2024, aligning with an overall increase in Treasury yields due to stronger-than-expected employment, inflation, and consumer sentiment data.

Despite the sell-off in fixed-income markets, municipal bonds outperformed Treasuries, supported by robust demand and...

Read summary

Nov 11, 2024

50 sec read

Artisan

Sri Lanka’s Happily Ever After?

The election of Anura Kumara Dissanayake as Sri Lanka's President marks a significant shift in the nation's political landscape, reflecting public demand for change following the 2022 crisis.

His election promises, including anti-corruption measures and tax relief, have resonated with voters, although...

Read summary

Nov 7, 2024

46 sec read

Neuberger Berman

Assessing Trump 2.0

The U.S. election results, with Donald Trump winning the presidency and Republicans controlling Congress, suggest policy shifts with significant implications for growth, inflation, and interest rates.

Growth prospects for 2025 may be modestly higher due to potential tax, energy, and regulatory changes,...

Read summary

Nov 7, 2024

53 sec read

Invesco

Global Fixed Income Strategy Monthly Report

The October global strategy report highlights key drivers in the fixed income markets, focusing on macroeconomic trends, interest rates, currencies, and credit.

The European Central Bank's (ECB) initiation of a rate-cutting cycle raises questions about the current "neutral" rate compared to pre-pandemic...

Read summary

Nov 6, 2024

59 sec read

Federated Hermes

Trump win gives Republicans strong mandate

The recent election results, with President Trump winning decisively and the Senate flipping, have created a unique environment for financial markets.

While the House remains undecided, the implications for Trump's economic agenda are significant, particularly in sectors like the Old Economy, which...

Read summary

Nov 4, 2024

51 sec read

Artisan

TajikiSTAR

Tajikistan's macroeconomic outlook is promising, with the country experiencing an 8% annual growth rate and maintaining prudent fiscal policies that keep the budget deficit within 2% of GDP.

The debt-to-GDP ratio remains stable at 30%, which is significantly lower than the single-B...

Read summary

Nov 4, 2024

61 sec read

First Trust

Finally, Election Eve

The upcoming election results are pivotal not only for determining the presidency but also for the control of Congress, which could take longer to finalize due to close races and potential recounts.

Investors should avoid emotional reactions to the election outcomes, as...

Read summary

Nov 1, 2024

54 sec read

Neuberger Berman

Subdued Tone at the IMF

The current economic climate is characterized by uncertainties, particularly concerning trade, which have cast a shadow over recent economic summits.

Emerging markets are particularly vulnerable to the threat of significant tariffs, which could disrupt their reliance on global trade and potentially lead...

Read summary

Nov 1, 2024

69 sec read

Federated Hermes

Fuzzy picture

The current environment for money market products, while traditionally focused on short-term economic developments, is influenced by a complex array of factors, including political, economic, and environmental events.

Despite their daily liquidity feature, cash managers aim for higher yields by extending investment...

Read summary

Nov 1, 2024

58 sec read

Federated Hermes

The UK's big-swing budget

The recent Autumn Budget presented by UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves marks a significant shift under a Labour government, focusing on substantial tax increases to address inherited financial challenges.

The budget outlines over £40 billion in tax hikes, with notable increases in inheritance...

Read summary

Oct 29, 2024

36 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Key convictions 4Q24

The global economic outlook for fixed-income investments is currently optimistic, with central banks beginning to ease policies and inflation showing signs of moderation.

This environment supports the potential for selectively identifying attractive yields, despite tight spreads.

Read summary

Oct 25, 2024

53 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Global Fixed Income Perspectives 3Q 2024

The global market outlook indicates a stabilization in inflation, allowing central banks in developed countries to initiate rate cuts, which could influence investment strategies.

Investors are weighing the economic prospects of the US against those of Europe and Asia, with the global...

Read summary

Oct 24, 2024

55 sec read

Artisan

Pension Tension

Uruguay faces a critical decision on October 27th, not only to elect a new president but also to vote on a plebiscite that could significantly alter the nation's pension system.

The plebiscite, driven by the trade union PIT-CNT, aims to reverse key...

Read summary

Oct 22, 2024

51 sec read

Franklin Templeton

CIO Pulse Survey

The investment outlook suggests a gradual decrease in the US federal funds rate, with expectations of it reaching around 3.6% by the end of 2025, implying multiple rate cuts.

Inflation, as measured by US core PCE, is projected to decline to 2.4%,...

Read summary

Oct 18, 2024

56 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Goldilocks Redux?

The investment landscape in September was characterized by significant central bank activity, notably the Federal Reserve's unexpected decision to cut rates by 50 basis points, which had a pronounced effect on fixed income markets.

This proactive stance by the Fed, alongside similar...

Read summary

Oct 16, 2024

50 sec read

Federated Hermes

Auto loan market is shifting back to normal

The auto loan asset-backed security (ABS) market is experiencing a shift characterized as "normalization" rather than deterioration, despite increased delinquency and charge-off rates since mid-2021.

This trend is primarily attributed to the subprime sector, particularly among its weaker participants, while the overall...

Read summary

Oct 15, 2024

45 sec read

Artisan

The Battle of the NDF Trading Venues

Non-Deliverable Forwards (NDFs) have emerged as vital instruments for accessing emerging and frontier currencies, especially where traditional FX markets are unavailable.

Unlike typical currency forwards, NDFs settle the difference in contracted versus spot prices without actual currency exchange, making them unique.

Read summary

Oct 15, 2024

43 sec read

Federated Hermes

Rates never sleep

The bond market has shown resilience despite recent volatility, delivering impressive returns in the third quarter of 2024, largely due to the Federal Reserve's significant rate cut.

Federated Hermes attributes its strong performance to a diversified investment approach and strategic positioning by...

Read summary

Oct 14, 2024

43 sec read

First Trust

Have We Reached Peak Keynesianism?

The text presents a critical analysis of Keynesian economic policies, suggesting that the U.S. has reached "peak Keynesianism" much like the late 1970s and early 1980s.

The main argument is that Keynesianism, which advocates for boosting demand through government deficits and redistribution,...

Read summary

Oct 11, 2024

41 sec read

Morgan Stanley

An Introduction to Private Equity Basics

The investment landscape is expanding beyond traditional stocks and bonds to include alternative investments, notably private equity (PE), which has seen substantial growth in assets under management.

PE involves equity investments in private companies, with fund managers, or general partners (GPs), holding...

Read summary

Oct 11, 2024

51 sec read

Federated Hermes

A historic year

The current investment landscape reveals a complex interplay of optimism and caution, influenced by economic resilience and geopolitical uncertainties.

Despite concerns about AI's impact on jobs and the economy's potential fragility, the U.S. economy has shown unexpected durability, even amid historically negative...

Read summary

Oct 11, 2024

42 sec read

Federated Hermes

Making the moat of it

The concept of "economic moats," popularized by Warren Buffett, focuses on identifying companies with competitive advantages that protect their profitability from competitors.

These advantages can include strong brand identities or robust patents, exemplified by companies like Coca-Cola and various pharmaceutical firms.

Read summary

Oct 10, 2024

38 sec read

Federated Hermes

Far from wild

Emerging market debt (EMD) has transitioned into a diverse asset class, with frontier markets offering unique investment opportunities.

These markets, characterized by high growth potential but low GDP levels and infrastructure deficits, require significant "catch-up capital" and often rely on IMF and...

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Oct 8, 2024

41 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Central Bank Watch

The Franklin Templeton Fixed Income (FTFI) Central Bank Watch provides a qualitative analysis of central bank policies across G10 nations, plus China and South Korea, scoring them on inflation outlook, quantitative easing, and interest rate guidance.

Recent trends indicate a global shift...

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Oct 8, 2024

45 sec read

Invesco

What is an interest rate, and how does it work?

Interest rates are a pivotal element in finance, influencing both consumer behavior and broader economic conditions.

They represent the cost of borrowing money, impacting decisions on loans and investments, and are closely monitored by market analysts for insights into economic health and...

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Oct 7, 2024

39 sec read

Franklin Templeton

An update on our ESG scores

The integration of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors into sovereign fixed income investing has been a key focus for Templeton Global Macro, particularly since the introduction of the Templeton Global Macro-ESG Index® in 2018.

While the industry typically employs a levels-based...

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Oct 7, 2024

48 sec read

First Trust

The Politics of Limits

The current situation with the US federal debt reaching $35 trillion and increasing annually by approximately $2 trillion has raised concerns among investors about potential fiscal instability.

However, the focus should not solely be on the debt's total amount but rather on...

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Oct 4, 2024

33 sec read

Federated Hermes

Hot Hot Hot

The September nonfarm payroll report exceeded expectations, with 254,000 jobs added versus the anticipated 150,000, marking a 6-month hiring high.

The unemployment rate decreased to 4.1%, alleviating concerns about the Sahm Rule.

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Oct 1, 2024

36 sec read

Federated Hermes

Striking on the dock of the bay

Approximately 45,000 dockworkers at 36 U.S. ports have gone on strike, disrupting nearly 30% of U.S. trade volume, particularly container and auto shipments, though energy and bulk cargo remain unaffected.

The strike stems from stalled negotiations between the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA)...

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Oct 1, 2024

34 sec read

Federated Hermes

The house at the fork in the road

The US housing market has been constrained by high mortgage rates, leading to a "lock-in effect" that has prevented the sale of approximately 1.7 million homes between mid-2022 and mid-2024.

Mortgage rates have recently declined, with 30-year fixed rates dropping from 7.22%...

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Sep 30, 2024

43 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Countdown to election day

The upcoming US election holds significant macroeconomic and investment implications, with potential shifts in trade and fiscal policies being key areas of focus for markets.

Both parties propose changes to trade policy, with Trump advocating for high tariffs, particularly on China, which...

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Sep 30, 2024

37 sec read

Federated Hermes

Sky high

Despite concerns that the Federal Reserve's easing cycle would prompt outflows from liquidity products, money market funds have seen inflows of approximately $150 billion since the Fed cut rates by 50 basis points in September.

This reflects a disconnect between media pessimism...

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Sep 27, 2024

46 sec read

Federated Hermes

Give us a smile

Recent discussions among bankers and regulators highlighted differing preferences regarding economic outlooks, with 76% anticipating a potential “President Harris.” Upcoming election-related milestones include state count deadlines on December 11, elector voting on December 17, and Congress certifying the election on January 6,...

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Sep 26, 2024

36 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Outlook for Direct Lending

Private credit, particularly in direct lending, has grown significantly as banks withdraw from middle-market lending and public market volatility increases.

The market reached about $1.5 trillion at the beginning of 2024, up from $1 trillion in 2020, with projections suggesting it could...

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Sep 24, 2024

38 sec read

Federated Hermes

The return of total

Bond investors traditionally understand that prices rise when yields fall and vice versa.

However, with the Federal Reserve's easing cycle beginning in mid-September, the focus on total return becomes crucial.

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Sep 23, 2024

14 sec read

Alliance Bernstein

Demystifying Private Credit Investing

Private credit markets are poised for significant opportunity, presenting a chance to boost risk-adjusted returns and diversify investment portfolios.

Investors should focus on understanding the factors driving this potential and adopt a structured approach to incorporate private credit into their strategies.

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Sep 23, 2024

42 sec read

First Trust

The Budget Blowout

The federal budget deficit for Fiscal Year 2024 is projected to reach approximately $1.9 trillion, or 6.7% of GDP, marking a historic high outside of full-mobilization wars or significant recessions.

While deficits were substantial post-Great Recession in FY 2012, current economic conditions...

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Sep 20, 2024

40 sec read

Federated Hermes

The Powell put

An early bankers' meeting in Hershey prompted significant travel disruptions but resulted in a deeper examination of current market trends.

The equity market is demonstrating bullishness, with the S&P 500 up 26.6% prior to a Federal Reserve rate cut.

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Sep 19, 2024

48 sec read

Morgan Stanley

2024 Midyear Outlook: Hedge Funds

The first half of 2024 has mirrored the strong performance seen in 2023, with equity markets driven primarily by a few technology stocks while central bank policy remains uncertain and geopolitical unpredictability has increased volatility.

Despite these challenges, there is a notable...

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Sep 19, 2024

55 sec read

Franklin Templeton

On My Mind: The first cut is the deepest

The Federal Open Market Committee's recent decision to cut rates by 50 basis points has sparked mixed views regarding its appropriateness.

While some believe that the current policy rate of 5.25%–5.50% is excessively high given economic weakening signs such as rising unemployment,...

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Sep 18, 2024

55 sec read

Morgan Stanley

In Like a Lion, Out Like a Lamb?

A weaker than expected non-farm payroll report triggered a risk-off sentiment in early August, prompting markets to anticipate a hard landing and potential intermeeting rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which ultimately did not occur.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's comments and...

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Sep 16, 2024

30 sec read

Alliance Bernstein

PRISM: Unlocking the Power of ESG Data

Investors are increasingly required to integrate financially material ESG risks and opportunities, yet the challenge lies in the subjective nature of company ESG data and the lack of global standards, complicating comparisons.

Many turn to third-party ESG rating providers, but the variability...

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Sep 16, 2024

33 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Muni Monthly: August 2024

In August 2024, the investment-grade municipal market experienced positive momentum, with the Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index returning 0.79%, lifting year-to-date returns to 1.30%.

This uptick was supported by weaker economic data and dovish commentary from the Federal Reserve, indicating a potential rate...

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Sep 13, 2024

36 sec read

Federated Hermes

Is the Fed behind the curve?

The Federal Reserve is anticipated to lower interest rates next week, aiming for a quarter-point cut as it responds to declining inflation and a weakening labor market, with the current fed funds rate steady at 5.50% since July 2023.

The central bank...

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Sep 12, 2024

36 sec read

Federated Hermes

When the music stops

The current debate surrounds the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle, focusing on whether it will result in a soft or hard economic landing, though interest rates are expected to decline in the near future.

As capital has flowed into money markets due to...

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Sep 4, 2024

36 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Fantasy football and ETFs

The Detroit Lions are generating significant optimism for the upcoming season after recently achieving more playoff victories than they had in the previous 70 years.

Two Lions players are currently first-round selections in fantasy football, indicating their growing talent.

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Sep 4, 2024

39 sec read

Federated Hermes

School's in session

As schools resume in September, the markets are focused on economic data and Federal Reserve communications regarding potential interest rate cuts.

Chair Jerome Powell indicated that a rate cut could be announced at the mid-September meeting.

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Aug 26, 2024

34 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Niches: Searching for roads less travelled

Conducting fundamental research with a capable investment team allows for the identification of investment opportunities within specialized niche markets, often overlooked by mainstream analysts.

Niche operators, defined as companies serving a small number of competitors, benefit from strong profit margins, superior long-term...

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Aug 26, 2024

38 sec read

First Trust

Rate Cuts on the Way

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced an anticipated rate cut at the upcoming September 18 meeting, with futures markets predicting a 25 to 50 basis point reduction.

However, the focus should shift from interest rates to the rate of growth in M2,...

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Aug 20, 2024

43 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Muni Monthly: July 2024

In July 2024, the municipal market experienced a rally, with the Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index achieving a return of 0.91%, resulting in positive year-to-date (YTD) performance.

This rally was driven by weaker economic data that lowered interest rates, notably benefiting lower-quality municipals,...

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Aug 19, 2024

27 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Making sense of market inefficiencies

The recent analysis from the Franklin Templeton Institute highlights an improved outlook for US fixed income in Q3 2024, with the conviction model indicating a constructive balance of risks and opportunities for bonds.

Real yields remain attractive, approaching multi-year highs, amid a...

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Aug 16, 2024

38 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Quick Thoughts: Much ado about nothing?

Market volatility recently highlighted a crucial shift in investor sentiment, transitioning from inflation concerns to a focus on global economic growth and corporate profits.

Following a significant downturn in early August, particularly in Japan’s equities, markets have rebounded, suggesting the turbulence may...

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Aug 15, 2024

41 sec read

Franklin Templeton

Global Investment Management Survey

The Franklin Templeton Global Investment Management Survey indicates a consensus among portfolio managers that a global recession will be avoided, with growth expected to align with consensus forecasts across major regions.

The U.S. yield curve is anticipated to normalize with a decline...

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Aug 15, 2024

42 sec read

Federated Hermes

Unsustainable trajectory

In July, the U.S. gross national debt reached $35 trillion, marking a debt-to-GDP ratio of 125%, the highest since WWII.

Servicing this debt will cost approximately $1 trillion in 2023, exceeding the entire defense budget.

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Aug 13, 2024

37 sec read

Federated Hermes

Five big things that have changed

Markets have experienced increased volatility since early July, particularly affecting growth stocks and international equities.

Recent indicators, such as a stronger-than-expected services ISM report, suggest that a severe economic slowdown is not imminent.

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Aug 12, 2024

64 sec read

Morgan Stanley

Can the Fed Take Home a Gold?

In July, fixed income markets demonstrated strong performance as global government bond yields declined, driven by an improved inflation outlook and steady economic data suggesting central banks might begin easing rates earlier than anticipated.

The U.S.

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Aug 12, 2024

46 sec read

Federated Hermes

Short-term markets during rate cuts

Inflation and labor market conditions align with the Federal Reserve's criteria for a potential rate cut, leading to speculation about the timing and scale of easings in 2024.

Markets expect cuts at all remaining Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings this year,...

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Aug 8, 2024

41 sec read

Federated Hermes

Someone has to win

Joe Biden's presidency faces challenges as he enters a "lame duck" phase, potentially impacting his legacy and ambitions.

His successor, Kamala Harris, may continue Biden's policies but could lean left due to her historical stances on issues like fracking and antitrust.

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Aug 7, 2024

35 sec read

Federated Hermes

Don't call it junk

Current high-yield valuations are elevated compared to historical medians, suggesting caution regarding maximum allocations to this asset class.

However, improved market quality is evident, with an increase in BB-rated bonds and a decrease in CCC-rated bonds, supported by the strong financial position...

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Aug 5, 2024

35 sec read

Neuberger Berman

Now It’s Time to Focus on the Path

The current market environment underscores the importance of accurately timing interest rate easing for achieving optimal total returns.

While the focus has been on high-quality investments within the five- to seven-year maturity range, recent bond market shifts have altered the expected terminal...

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Aug 2, 2024

41 sec read

Federated Hermes

Is small beautiful?

Technology is underperforming as highlighted by the S&P's recent trends, with Information Technology and Communication Services lagging.

Despite this, the equal-weighted S&P 500 reached a new high, while the index is up approximately 15% year-to-date.

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Jul 15, 2024

38 sec read

First Trust

M2 Slowdown Finally Gaining Traction

The lag between monetary policy shifts and economic impact is substantial and varies.

Recent actions by the Federal Reserve during the pandemic have begun to show effects, as the M2 money supply, which surged during 2020-21 due to extensive government spending and...

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Jun 10, 2024

40 sec read

First Trust

Spotlighting Inequality

As the presidential election approaches, discussions on economic inequality between socioeconomic classes are intensifying.

Historically, this topic has been central to political discourse, with significant government spending aimed at addressing poverty and expanding opportunities.

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