Author: Just Summit Editorial Team
Source: Federated Hermes
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Bond markets faced a steep sell-off this autumn. Soaring oil and rising inflation pushed long-dated sovereign yields to multi-decade highs, with the UK's 30-year gilt yield hitting 5.9% in September. The UK's high energy import costs and rising borrowing expenses exacerbate fiscal challenges for the new government.
This situation complicates Chancellor John Healey's task ahead of his October budget. He must balance spending commitments with fiscal rules and a shrinking fiscal buffer. While tax increases are likely, options are constrained.
The weak UK growth outlook and global uncertainty suggest a positive yield curve may persist. This environment favors triple-A rated sterling money-market funds. These funds offer capital preservation and attractive yields, attracting significant investor flows.
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